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Welcome to ELECTION-PROJECTION.NET's

Interactive Presidential Election Probability Calculator

Make your best estimate of the probability Obama will win each state and input those probabilities below. When you are done, press "Calculate" to begin running simulated elections. After the results have settled on a consistent number, press "Stop". You can then change the input probabilities and run more simulations. Enjoy!

McCain   Tie   Obama
Probability of Win:   
Expected Electoral Votes:   
Number of simulated elections completed:
          

Expected Distribution of Electoral Votes

State-to-state outcome correlation (more info):

Display state BattleRanks
Display actual Obama win percentage for each state

CA
CA          RI
RI
NY
NY          ME
ME
IL
IL          HI
HI
MI
MI          VT
VT
NJ
NJ          DE
DE
MA
MA          DC
DC
WA
WA          NH
NH
WI
WI          NM
NM
MD
MD          MN
MN
OR
OR          PA
PA
IA
IA          CO
CO
CT
CT          NV
NV
         VA
VA
SC
SC          OH
OH
MS
MS          FL
FL
TX
TX          NC
NC
KY
KY          ND
ND
KS
KS          IN
IN
WV
WV          MT
MT
TN
TN          MO
MO
AL
AL          GA
GA
OK
OK          AZ
AZ
UT
UT          LA
LA
NE
NE          AK
AK
ID
ID          SD
SD
WY
WY          AR
AR